Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.020496 0.022169 0.023915 0.025873 0.028010 0.030271 0.032848
2025-09-21 0.017559 0.019931 0.022538 0.025623 0.029179 0.033159 0.037963
2025-09-28 0.015766 0.018548 0.021729 0.025647 0.030357 0.035858 0.042798
2025-10-05 0.014375 0.017406 0.020984 0.025536 0.031201 0.038054 0.047022
2025-10-12 0.013395 0.016627 0.020545 0.025675 0.032252 0.040457 0.051549
2025-10-19 0.012549 0.015920 0.020107 0.025726 0.033127 0.042616 0.055827
2025-10-26 0.011793 0.015256 0.019652 0.025688 0.033831 0.044539 0.059853
2025-11-02 0.011139 0.014670 0.019242 0.025653 0.034499 0.046405 0.063865
2025-11-09 0.010405 0.013926 0.018568 0.025201 0.034542 0.047386 0.066659
2025-11-16 0.009748 0.013244 0.017930 0.024745 0.034528 0.048251 0.069296
2025-11-23 0.009281 0.012793 0.017577 0.024654 0.035004 0.049810 0.073004
2025-11-30 0.008824 0.012328 0.017174 0.024461 0.035303 0.051106 0.076366
2025-12-07 0.008392 0.011894 0.016815 0.024340 0.035749 0.052708 0.080412
2025-12-14 0.007955 0.011430 0.016388 0.024098 0.036002 0.054040 0.084139
2025-12-21 0.007627 0.011108 0.016150 0.024120 0.036645 0.055994 0.088968
2025-12-28 0.007292 0.010756 0.015846 0.024016 0.037077 0.057624 0.093355
2026-01-04 0.007043 0.010520 0.015701 0.024146 0.037875 0.059868 0.098897
2026-01-11 0.006792 0.010267 0.015515 0.024194 0.038535 0.061912 0.104213
2026-01-18 0.006539 0.009996 0.015286 0.024158 0.039045 0.063724 0.109231
2026-01-25 0.006303 0.009742 0.015070 0.024125 0.039553 0.065548 0.114372
2026-02-01 0.005997 0.009362 0.014633 0.023703 0.039369 0.066165 0.117348
2026-02-08 0.005710 0.008999 0.014207 0.023277 0.039151 0.066698 0.120188
2026-02-15 0.005511 0.008771 0.013990 0.023192 0.039520 0.068283 0.125096